Formerly "Trading In A Futures Contest - 2012" - My trading journey - a mechanical trader trying to make a discretionary approach succeed.
Thursday, October 18, 2012
Why?
Why in the world would a successful mechanical trader try a discretionary approach?
Throughout my 20+ years of trading part time, and now full time, I have had much more success with mechanical systems than discretionary ones. Hopefully that is pretty obvious to anyone who has read my bio. Winning 3 World Cup Trading trophies, all with mechanical systems, should convince you of my ability to create successful mechanical systems. I guess at heart I am just a numbers guy, and creating rigid rules appeals to me most.
But, there are things about mechanical systems I just hate:
First, once you turn a mechanical system on, you basically lose all control. And since most of my systems run for days or weeks, the day to day variation sometimes gets emotionally overwhelming. I resist the temptation to interfere, but it is always there.
Second, in the back of my mind I always wonder if/when a mechanical system will stop working.
Third, sometimes mechanical systems take trades that make me think "what did the strategy just do?!?" Many times - but not always - these trades turn out to be losers.
Finally, I've always had limited success in creating a day trading system with mechanical rules. Maybe it is the way I test, maybe it is the market, but since my goal is a day trading system, I need to look beyond mechanical type systems.
There is definitely a challenge here that motivates me: "Can I become a great discretionary trader?"
So, I added that all these reasons up, and concluded that a day trading, discretionary approach is what I should be looking at.
The problem is that throughout my trading career, I have very limited success with discretionary trading...
Next post: Why I Think Most People (Including Myself) Fail at Discretionary Trading
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